analytics-dictionary / term / experimentation
Simpson’s paradox
Simpson's paradox is when a trend that appears in several groups reverses when the groups are combined.
Written by Reflective Data experts · updated Oct 5, 2026
It occurs when group sizes differ between variants, for example if one variant happened to get more mobile traffic. Segmenting results by key dimensions can reveal it.
It is a reminder that random assignment, not post-hoc slicing, is what protects experiments.
related
A/B testSample ratio mismatch (SRM)Statistics
// how we can help
We set up, audit and run experimentation programs on any tool. A/B testing services → · Audits