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P-value

A p-value is the probability of seeing a result at least as extreme as yours if there were actually no difference.

Written by Reflective Data experts · updated Oct 5, 2026

A small p-value, typically below 0.05, suggests the result is unlikely to be pure chance. It does not tell you the probability that the variant is better, nor how large or valuable the effect is.

Always read it together with the effect size and confidence interval.

related

Confidence intervalFrequentist statisticsStatistical significance

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